Showing posts with label indonesia digital economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label indonesia digital economy. Show all posts

Tuesday, 26 March 2019

Asia's Century A market of 5 Billion people have awoken.


Asian economies are in some way a dichotomy of what we would call in the west Capitalism versus nationalism. I'll explain but first I'll remind myself of a claim that my first boss made back in the days of Addressograph Multigraph my first employer, he said to me “For Communism or Capitalism to survive they both need to be present”.  I never understood the value of that statement until after the wall fell. The balance to Capitalism in the west became greed with ethics and morals largely cast aside. In Asia, you have a form of checks and balance that mirror those two ideologies. Once in discussion with senior Huaweii exec I referred to their communist balance, he quickly let me know that Communism is a past term and that a more modern name should be applied, although he didn't offer an alternative, but his indignation was felt.




In previous notes I have talked about Globalization and how Asia wants no part of this. I should qualify this; Asian economies have benefited from globalization there is no doubt, but they have stopped short of totally opening up.  Perhaps for several reasons in my view, 1. They have been on the losing side of colonization along with the brutal ills that that brought. 2. The currency crisis of 1998, major corporations were saddled with US debt which they struggled to balance. Many if not all did repay suppliers, loans etc. but it cost them their place in the market. There is no better example of this than Indonesia, two destined to be conglomerates one had the incumbent fixed telecom state owned network as its partner the other Nynex out of the US. One operator XL I would say at that time was progressive dynamic and inventive, the other Telkomsel more pragmatic, harnessed by tradition, due to the 98 financial crisis the balanced shifted in favour of Telkomsel. Today Telkomsel are 3 times bigger than their nearest competitor XL, in a country of 260M 1998 was a significant handicap to XL. Globalization was seen as a western benefit, as a result what we have today is savvy ministers who were able to take the advantage of globalization but spin on a sixpence so to speak as the 2008 financial crisis hit the west, opening the door to regionalism a tried and tested system of integrated trade ties established following 1998, save that of the wave activity which has been present for 50 years as referred here in a previous post. CLICK HERE!

The mix of ideologies following savvy economic policies have put this region as the frontrunner by a furlong to be the dominating party of the 21C. 19C was dominated by the British Empire, the 20th by America and the American dream. We now have an Asia dream and it really should not be missed.

That's not to say that Asia doesn't have its issues, for sure it does. But first be mindful; they are aware of the behaviour of the globalization actors, their aggressive push to build and retain superpower status. Their overtures in seeking free trade policy backed up by neo-mercantile policy. 

Asia have to come to terms with the need to rebalance their economies, to move the power base away from family conglomerates. Large parts of a country’s listed stocks are led from family run business. In Korea, they have a term chaebol which refers to family business conglomerate, they make up 50% of the Korean stock market. We all remember I'm sure the peanut issue on a Korean airline leaving New York, these are powerful families and as such are, in the case of Asia generally able to hold direction over a countries fortunes.  For that reason Asian economic ministers look to China as to the way they have handled this issue in order to spread the wealth creating more entrepreneurialism. In Indonesia large family conglomerates control major sectors such as construction, real estate, shipping, commodities trade, banking, and telecoms. The corporate pyramid remains narrow at the top, giving individuals enormous influence over policy. According to McKinsey, family businesses across the region have been growing at more than 20 percent per year over the past decade and using their strong cash positions to invest in joint ventures and new technology that raise the productivity of their home-based workers. Some might call this Confucian capitalism, recognizing the centrality of community, it is as Chinese as the notion of guanxi, or having privileged influence through networks. 




Corruption is a scourge across the world, it has more visibility across Asia only because the money is not flowing into the pockets of the west. In Asia, particularly Indonesia there is an anti corruption unit which has made great strides to reduce this burden, as with China many official have fallen, continuing to fall, they are being jailed by the 100s. Through pragmatism, good leadership and a realization as to the handicap this practise have on future growth prospect. 

Consider: In the west Competition is freely banded around as though it is the domain of western economies. But look at the banking sector. As one executive of a European bank put it, “In the US, American banks face little competition to service wealthy clients. In Europe, both European and American banks compete for the market. And in Asia, European, American, and Asian banks are all competing for wealthy customers. All our margins get squeezed, but at the same time it unlocks trillions of dollars of savings to be profitably invested.”

All of this is fascinating but the facts remain Asia will march forward in this Century. Americanism will give way just as Colonialism gave way. Stop it you can not, participate for sure you can!




Asian economies are in some way a dichotomy of what we would call in the west Capitalism versus nationalism. I'll explain but first I'll remind myself of a claim that my first boss made back in the days of Addressograph Multigraph my first employer, he said to me “For Communism or Capitalism to survive they both need to be present”.  I never understood the value of that statement until after the wall fell. The balance to Capitalism in the west became greed with ethics and morals largely cast aside. In Asia, you have a form of checks and balance that mirror those two ideologies. Once in discussion with senior Huaweii exec I referred to their communist balance, he quickly let me know that Communism is a past term and that a more modern name should be applied, although he didn't offer an alternative, but his indignation was felt.




In previous notes I have talked about Globalization and how Asia wants no part of this. I should qualify this; Asian economies have benefited from globalization there is no doubt, but they have stopped short of totally opening up.  Perhaps for several reasons in my view, 1. They have been on the losing side of colonization along with the brutal ills that that brought. 2. The currency crisis of 1998, major corporations were saddled with US debt which they struggled to balance. Many if not all did repay suppliers, loans etc. but it cost them their place in the market. There is no better example of this than Indonesia, two destined to be conglomerates one had the incumbent fixed telecom state owned network as its partner the other Nynex out of the US. One operator XL I would say at that time was progressive dynamic and inventive, the other Telkomsel more pragmatic, harnessed by tradition, due to the 98 financial crisis the balanced shifted in favour of Telkomsel. Today Telkomsel are 3 times bigger than their nearest competitor XL, in a country of 260M 1998 was a significant handicap to XL. Globalization was seen as a western benefit, as a result what we have today is savvy ministers who were able to take the advantage of globalization but spin on a sixpence so to speak as the 2008 financial crisis hit the west, opening the door to regionalism a tried and tested system of integrated trade ties established following 1998, save that of the wave activity which has been present for 50 years as referred here in a previous post. CLICK HERE!

The mix of ideologies following savvy economic policies have put this region as the frontrunner by a furlong to be the dominating party of the 21C. 19C was dominated by the British Empire, the 20th by America and the American dream. We now have an Asia dream and it really should not be missed.

That's not to say that Asia doesn't have its issues, for sure it does. But first be mindful; they are aware of the behaviour of the globalization actors, their aggressive push to build and retain superpower status. Their overtures in seeking free trade policy backed up by neo-mercantile policy. 

Asia have to come to terms with the need to rebalance their economies, to move the power base away from family conglomerates. Large parts of a country’s listed stocks are led from family run business. In Korea, they have a term chaebol which refers to family business conglomerate, they make up 50% of the Korean stock market. We all remember I'm sure the peanut issue on a Korean airline leaving New York, these are powerful families and as such are, in the case of Asia generally able to hold direction over a countries fortunes.  For that reason Asian economic ministers look to China as to the way they have handled this issue in order to spread the wealth creating more entrepreneurialism. In Indonesia large family conglomerates control major sectors such as construction, real estate, shipping, commodities trade, banking, and telecoms. The corporate pyramid remains narrow at the top, giving individuals enormous influence over policy. According to McKinsey, family businesses across the region have been growing at more than 20 percent per year over the past decade and using their strong cash positions to invest in joint ventures and new technology that raise the productivity of their home-based workers. Some might call this Confucian capitalism, recognizing the centrality of community, it is as Chinese as the notion of guanxi, or having privileged influence through networks. 




Corruption is a scourge across the world, it has more visibility across Asia only because the money is not flowing into the pockets of the west. In Asia, particularly Indonesia there is an anti corruption unit which has made great strides to reduce this burden, as with China many official have fallen, continuing to fall, they are being jailed by the 100s. Through pragmatism, good leadership and a realization as to the handicap this practise have on future growth prospect. 

Consider: In the west Competition is freely banded around as though it is the domain of western economies. But look at the banking sector. As one executive of a European bank put it, “In the US, American banks face little competition to service wealthy clients. In Europe, both European and American banks compete for the market. And in Asia, European, American, and Asian banks are all competing for wealthy customers. All our margins get squeezed, but at the same time it unlocks trillions of dollars of savings to be profitably invested.”

All of this is fascinating but the facts remain Asia will march forward in this Century. Americanism will give way just as Colonialism gave way. Stop it you can not, participate for sure you can!



Monday, 25 March 2019

Statura.Co Legal, Translation and Visa's





Tuesday, 19 March 2019

Brexit Dichotomy. Success of Asia Versus Self-harm of Europe

Join With These Names Make Indonesia Home.


A Simile comes to mind when you consider two systems or in this case a dichotomy. Two clear systems one based on economics the other based on ideology. One is prospering the other is self-harming.  Having grown up in the Soviet era and seen how terribly oppressive living behind the “iron curtain” was. How we fought to rid our own UK streets of the militancy driving us to communism, how could we turn around now by supporting the EU which has adopted the same persona of the old Soviet Union.

Two institutions:

One fully fledged, invasive, autocratic and stagnant, the other vibrant, dynamic devoid of invasive regulations and economically buoyant. 

One institution has achieved mediocre economic growth, in 10 years accumulative 2.2% (since 2008 through until 2018) the other would consider economic growth of 5% per year as a troubled year.



One institution is linked to the global economic crisis sweeping the west who  then reacted poorly even against its peers, the other has looked inward pulling together achieving phenomenal growth, prosperity throughout this period.

One institution demands globalization the other is thankful they’re not part of it.

One institution has plunged, in some areas 40% of their young into hopelessness devoid of any possible future, the other has lifted millions literally millions out of poverty.

One institution stifle business with regulation, eg. insisting that Salmon have a label to advise that it might contain fish, the other concentrates on the route to one's plate.

It's not rocket science to guess who I speak about. It is of course the antithesis of nirvana the European Union that bastion of authoritarianism, the Soviet Union in Western Clothes.  On the other side we have a cooperative, a collection of Asian countries working together to bring each other up the economic and social ladder. Sovereign parliaments that learn from each other, that invest in each other. They don't sit by and watch as rafts of young are left hopeless wallowing on their sun-drenched beaches off the Mediterranean, whilst their leaders stumble down stairs or slide under tables whilst indulging in opulent wines from the French vineyards.

What we have through a lack of interference or any egotistical need to become a United States to rival Trump's America, is an Asian mega-system consisting dozens of disparate economies coming together forming a whole greater than the sum of its parts.  To this region the notion of globalization was a harsh lesson that they learned in 1997/98. The currency crisis that swept Asia was anything but global. It was for this reason that individual Asian countries became a supportive companion to their neighbours. In short, Asia trade and growth became naturally interlinked, not through regulation, or through some ego driven ideology, but, through necessity growing organically through respect, identifying each others strengths and weaknesses. Richer communities invest in poorer regions. This I covered in my previous note.



In 2008, Asia inter-regional trade was of such strength that it offset the downturn in Europe and US. So robust that growth in the Asia region it accelerated, hence forth doubling between 2008 and 2016. Starting 2008 at 29% of their internal trade rising to 59% in 2016. A volume increase equivalent to Europe's internal market, not one “Common External Tariff” CET in sight.

To an Asian, Globalization is but a western pipe dream, one they want no part of. As 1998 proved, it did them no favours, may have even exasperated the issue.

Trade with Northern Asia, Southeast Asia, East Asia, South Asia and West Asia combined in two decades have gained a significant portion of global trade.

There has been much debate whether Asia can decouple from the west for investment the answer is a resounding yes. 

Consider this: Asia throughout the region is so diverse, it can sustain all their technology, agriculture alongside mass-produced production thus, satisfying all of their needs.

As the Brexit debate rages on consider the points that I have made, for sure the European Union is doing Europe no favours. I also suspect in 100years time, effigies of Tony Blair will be burnt on March the 29th commemorating yet another traitor of the British people. 



Join With These Names Make Indonesia Home.


A Simile comes to mind when you consider two systems or in this case a dichotomy. Two clear systems one based on economics the other based on ideology. One is prospering the other is self-harming.  Having grown up in the Soviet era and seen how terribly oppressive living behind the “iron curtain” was. How we fought to rid our own UK streets of the militancy driving us to communism, how could we turn around now by supporting the EU which has adopted the same persona of the old Soviet Union.

Two institutions:

One fully fledged, invasive, autocratic and stagnant, the other vibrant, dynamic devoid of invasive regulations and economically buoyant. 

One institution has achieved mediocre economic growth, in 10 years accumulative 2.2% (since 2008 through until 2018) the other would consider economic growth of 5% per year as a troubled year.



One institution is linked to the global economic crisis sweeping the west who  then reacted poorly even against its peers, the other has looked inward pulling together achieving phenomenal growth, prosperity throughout this period.

One institution demands globalization the other is thankful they’re not part of it.

One institution has plunged, in some areas 40% of their young into hopelessness devoid of any possible future, the other has lifted millions literally millions out of poverty.

One institution stifle business with regulation, eg. insisting that Salmon have a label to advise that it might contain fish, the other concentrates on the route to one's plate.

It's not rocket science to guess who I speak about. It is of course the antithesis of nirvana the European Union that bastion of authoritarianism, the Soviet Union in Western Clothes.  On the other side we have a cooperative, a collection of Asian countries working together to bring each other up the economic and social ladder. Sovereign parliaments that learn from each other, that invest in each other. They don't sit by and watch as rafts of young are left hopeless wallowing on their sun-drenched beaches off the Mediterranean, whilst their leaders stumble down stairs or slide under tables whilst indulging in opulent wines from the French vineyards.

What we have through a lack of interference or any egotistical need to become a United States to rival Trump's America, is an Asian mega-system consisting dozens of disparate economies coming together forming a whole greater than the sum of its parts.  To this region the notion of globalization was a harsh lesson that they learned in 1997/98. The currency crisis that swept Asia was anything but global. It was for this reason that individual Asian countries became a supportive companion to their neighbours. In short, Asia trade and growth became naturally interlinked, not through regulation, or through some ego driven ideology, but, through necessity growing organically through respect, identifying each others strengths and weaknesses. Richer communities invest in poorer regions. This I covered in my previous note.



In 2008, Asia inter-regional trade was of such strength that it offset the downturn in Europe and US. So robust that growth in the Asia region it accelerated, hence forth doubling between 2008 and 2016. Starting 2008 at 29% of their internal trade rising to 59% in 2016. A volume increase equivalent to Europe's internal market, not one “Common External Tariff” CET in sight.

To an Asian, Globalization is but a western pipe dream, one they want no part of. As 1998 proved, it did them no favours, may have even exasperated the issue.

Trade with Northern Asia, Southeast Asia, East Asia, South Asia and West Asia combined in two decades have gained a significant portion of global trade.

There has been much debate whether Asia can decouple from the west for investment the answer is a resounding yes. 

Consider this: Asia throughout the region is so diverse, it can sustain all their technology, agriculture alongside mass-produced production thus, satisfying all of their needs.

As the Brexit debate rages on consider the points that I have made, for sure the European Union is doing Europe no favours. I also suspect in 100years time, effigies of Tony Blair will be burnt on March the 29th commemorating yet another traitor of the British people. 



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